The International Cannabis Opportunity – New Cannabis Ventures

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friends,

While the US is getting a lot of attention from cannabis investors, the industry faces many challenges in America. It’s been more than 12 years since Colorado shops opened their doors to adults beyond medical patients, and since then many states have embraced medical cannabis and adult cannabis. Although legal cannabis has expanded significantly, it remains a state-regulated market, and each state differs greatly in terms of rules and regulations. Cannabis remains illegal federally, and the industry continues to struggle 280E tax.

Cannabis markets outside the US continue to grow. Canada revised its federal medical cannabis program in 2013, with the MMPR replacing the MMAR, and the current Access to Cannabis for Public Purposes Regulations (ACMPR) replaced the MMPR in 2016. Justin Trudeau, who was elected Prime Minister in late 2015, became the first agenda item to legalize cannabis. implement adult use legalization in 2018. The program has its challenges, but the industry has grown as it has matured. StatsCan will release December sales data tomorrow, and it looks like cannabis sales are up about 4% for 2025.

Other countries have developed their own medical cannabis, including Australia, Germany and Israel, with Germany legalizing it for adult use. The Netherlands is holding trials in coffee shops. Uruguay, a small country, began legalizing cannabis sales to adults in 2017, and Germany began a program in 2024 to legalize cannabis for adults, although sales are through social clubs. While this program has not directly created commercial opportunities, it has boosted the market for medical cannabis. Unlike Canada, where cannabis is sold by the provinces, in Germany cannabis is sold in traditional pharmacies. A significant amount of medical cannabis sold in Germany is imported from Canada. David Brown of StratCann suggested this six months ago Almost 50% of German hemp imports in Q2 came from Canada.

The Global Hemp Stock Index, last recalculated at year-end, has 7 Canadian LPs, and these NASDAQ-listed companies tend to be active in international markets. Most MSOs in the US operate exclusively there, but one, Curaleaf, has international operations. Curaleaf trades on the TSX in Canada, but it trades in the US. The company reported total revenue of $320 million in its third quarter, with international operations (Canada, Germany, Portugal, Spain and the UK) accounting for just 14.4%. Year-to-date, it has registered just 12.9% as it has grown while domestic revenues have declined.

Canadian LPs in the index are Aurora Cannabis, Canopy Growth, Cronos Group, Organigram, SNDL, Tilray Brands and Village Farms. SNDL, which is more of an alcohol than cannabis retailer, has no international cannabis sales. The remaining six are active and active. This week, Organigram announced the acquisition of the rest of the German cannabis company, and it was already active in other markets. Cronos Group has announced the acquisition of CanAdelaar, a deal that is expected to close soon and will give it access to the Netherlands. Canopy Growth is acquiring MTL Cannabis, and increased exports of medical cannabis was a benefit he pointed to.

In: warned about Canadian LPs here at the end of November and I am now more optimistic about this part of the cannabis market. At the time I had 5 of the 7 GCSI members on my Focus List at 420 Investor, but I added Aurora Cannabis when they reported their financial Q3 and fell. Here’s how all 7 have performed since the end of November.

My 420 Investor model portfolio includes a small position in Tilray Brands, a large position in Aurora Cannabis, and a very large position in Organigram. These three positions represent 31.9% of the portfolio, while the GCSI has 27.4% exposure.

The Canadian LP market has certainly been cheaper than it is now, but it seems cheap enough. Balance sheets have improved dramatically, and some of these large companies are trading below tangible book value. NASDAQ listings are superior to the OTC listings that MSOs have. The Canadian market may improve, although I don’t expect it to, and international expansion may continue to help federally legal Canadian LPs export more or expand to other countries. These international operations also involve risks. I see a big international opportunity for Canadian LPs, and investors don’t seem very excited at the moment.

Sincerely,

Alan:

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Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as an online community founder 420 Investorthe first and still the largest due diligence platform focused on publicly traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. time New Cannabis Ventureshe is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before turning his attention to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst with more than two decades of research and portfolio management experience. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 Looking for Alphawhere he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and frequent source Media including the NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan. Twitter: |: Facebook |: LinkedIn: |: El