You are reading this week’s edition of New Cannabis Ventures, a weekly magazine we have published since October 2015. The newsletter includes unique insight to help our readers stay ahead of the curve, as well as links to the most important news of the week. We no longer email them like we used to, but post this and all newsletters on our website here.
friends,
I’m a big fan of artificial intelligence, although I have many concerns about its use. Some of the areas where I think AI can help society are healthcare diagnostics and drug discovery, finance, manufacturing, retail, logistics and technology. Workday, a publicly traded HR technology company, was discussed the ways that AI can and will affect certain industries in an article last summer.
I don’t follow WDAY closely, but the stock is down 40.8% so far in 2026, although this weakness is not unique to this stock. I have been and remain bearish on stocks, especially large-cap stocks, but I bought a tech ETF, the State Street SPDR S&P 500 Software & Services ETF, which is down 23.1% for the day. It also includes some very large companies and some that I really like. The reason these stocks have fallen so much appears to be concerns about AI, which could lead to the demise of software as a service (SaaS).
As a fan of AI, but someone who is concerned about it, I’ve been paying close attention to it even though I’m not paying for any of the services. I started using ChatGPT last year and tested it with the world I know, cannabis stocks. I was not satisfied with the answers to my questions. I recently started using Claude which I like better. I’ve never written about AI and how it can help (or hurt) people trying to pick good cannabis stocks, but I’m thinking today because I don’t think the answers are quite right.
As an analyst who has followed this industry closely for over 13 years, I know a lot. What I do know is that I don’t know everything about hemp stocks, and I certainly can’t accurately predict the future. I love that people can use the internet to do their research and it’s so much better than when I was a kid. The investment world then operated by fax, and investors had to deal with stockbrokers. AI can potentially take individuals further with their stock research.
I started writing this article before seeing this example that I will discuss. I want readers to know that this is an example of how Claude can come up with some pretty smart answers to questions. Asking good questions is the right thing for investors to do, but knowing what to do with those answers can be difficult. I believe that artificial intelligence is not there yet, and I base this on the answers to certain questions. I celebrate the improvement, but for those who think that choosing the right cannabis stock will lead to great results, I urge caution. This comment, in my opinion, goes beyond hemp stocks. Stock picking in general can be helped by artificial intelligence, but it is not harmless. Here is an example of a question I asked Claude and I think the answer is very helpful.
I am not trying to influence the price of Glass House Farms because I have literally zero influence on it. I have known Mark Codes for 50 years and love and respect him. I also think Glass House Farms CEO Kyle Kazan and his staff are doing good things.
As I’ve written here for a while, the hemp industry is facing many challenges, the biggest of which is 280E taxation. Will 280E be completed? When? Hemp stock traders and hemp stock investors need to understand that no one knows. There are many other challenges facing the hemp industry, and it goes beyond the US. Can AI answer the question of which direction hemp stocks will move in the right direction? Only if it says “up or down”.
So if you’re relying on AI to tell you when to buy cannabis stocks, or which ones to buy, I urge caution. If you’ve found something that you think gives investors a solid tool for success, please let me know. I wish readers the best with hemp stocks that remain in a bear market that is now more than five years old.
Sincerely,
Alan:
New Cannabis Ventures publishes curated articles as well as exclusive news. Here is what we have published in the last 3 weeks.
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Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as an online community founder 420 Investorthe first and still the largest due diligence platform focused on publicly traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. time New Cannabis Ventureshe is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before turning his attention to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst with more than two decades of research and portfolio management experience. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 Looking for Alphawhere he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and frequent source Media including the NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan. Twitter: |: Facebook |: LinkedIn: |: El
The recent presidential executive order directing federal agencies to speed up the reclassification process for cannabis marks an important moment for the industry. For operators, investors and consultants who have struggled with regulatory uncertainty for years, the federal reclassification of the plant could bringthe main benefits.
But it’s important to separate what the executive order actually did from what many hope it will do.
The rezoning could significantly change the tax landscape for hemp businesses, especially with respect to Section 280E of the Internal Revenue Codebut this will not remove the complexity of the requirements or provide instant relief. Understanding the difference is critical for operators planning their next move.
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While marijuana may soon be moved under federal law that currently does not exempt public cannabis businesses from an Internal Revenue Service (IRS) code known as 280E that bars them from receiving federal tax deductions, the agency argues in a new filing with the U.S. Tax Court.
In response to a lawsuit filed by New Mexico-based marijuana company Ultra Health challenging the generally accepted interpretation of the IRS code that applies to claims for tax deductions related to the sale of Schedule I and Schedule II drugs under the Controlled Substances Act (CSA), the IRS said the issue has already been clearly settled by Congress and various federal courts.
Those courts “have consistently held that section 280E is constitutional and have established a solid body of law supporting its validity and applicability to sellers of marijuana,” the report said. “Federal courts have addressed the applicability of section 280E in more than 40 published rulings or opinions. No resulting ruling or opinion has included a ruling or ruling that section 280E is unconstitutional or inapplicable to sellers of cannabis.”
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You are reading this week’s edition of New Cannabis Ventures, a weekly magazine we have published since October 2015. The newsletter includes unique insight to help our readers stay ahead of the curve, as well as links to the most important news of the week. We no longer email them like we used to, but post this and all newsletters on our website here.
friends,
With the first month of the year almost half over, the Global Hemp Stock Index rose 0.3% to 6.61. While that’s better than cash, it lags the S&P 500, which gained 1.2%, and notably the Russell 2000, which gained 6.9%.
The global hemp stock index has been in decline over the past five years, falling 4.2% in 2025, its best annual performance since a recent surge in 2020. The hemp industry is so down and should be rallying, but most bets on that outcome have lost money.
The index was recalculated at year-end, with three stocks exiting and two entering, leaving the index with 27 stocks. So far in 2026, 17 are up, with double-digit percentage gains, and 10 are down, including three that are down more than 20%. Here is a table that includes all the companies and some additional information:
The average market cap is $1.1 billion. MSOS is up 4.7% year-to-date, and the index contains 7 MSOs, all of which have gained. The last column shows that five of these seven have negative tangible book value, suggesting potential downside risk for those with significant debt.
I keep a close eye on 16 of the 27 names. Canopy Growth, Cresco Labs, Cronos Group, Curaleaf, GrowGeneration, Green Thumb Industries, Innovative Industrial Properties, WM Technology, Organigram, Chicago Atlantic Real Estate Finance, Scotts Miracle-TilrayrA BTrumsndce, Villa Verano. I’ve covered most of the others and written about RYTHM and SNDL on Seeking Alpha.
The drops include two recent additions that got me thinking more about inclusion rules. These two as well as others have very low market caps. They all met the minimum price rule and minimum average daily trading value criteria, and they are in the cannabis sector. The next rebalance, which will take place in March, may include some new rules.
The overall stock market is on the rise, but hemp stocks are still not catching the attention of investors. Shares in the index, up just 0.3% year to date, are trading near their 50-day and 150-day moving averages. MSOs are helping the market so far, while several stocks are hurting it. My model portfolio in the 420 Investor, which did very well in 2025, is outperforming the index so far in 2026. I’m very underweight MSOs relative to the index, own two, slightly overweight Canadian LPs (three names) and have a large overweight in ancillaries (four names). The model portfolio had 19% cash on 1/14.
The cannabis industry suffers from slow growth, increased competition, a slowdown in adult-use states, an uncertain regulatory environment at the federal level, and many unfair taxes (280E) Hopefully things will improve in 2026.
Sincerely,
Alan:
New Cannabis Ventures publishes curated articles as well as exclusive news. Here is what we published last week.
Follow Alan for real-time updates X.com:. Share and discover industry news with like-minded people on the largest group of cannabis investors and entrepreneurs LinkedIn:.
Stay on top of the most important communications from public companies by watching what’s coming cannabis investor calendar.
Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as an online community founder 420 Investorthe first and still the largest due diligence platform focused on publicly traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. time New Cannabis Ventureshe is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before turning his attention to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst with more than two decades of research and portfolio management experience. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 Looking for Alphawhere he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and frequent source Media including the NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan. Twitter: |: Facebook |: LinkedIn: |: El