In the latest Trade To Black podcast presented by Flowhub, host Anthony Varrell welcomes two heavyweight guests, FundCanna CEO Adam Stettner and renowned short seller and activist investor Mark Codes, to discuss cannabis lending, early redemptions, short selling and the future of the cannabis industry.
In the headlines: Senators Booker, Schumer and Wyden reintroduced the Hemp Governance and Opportunity Act. In psychiatry, Eli Lilly agreed to acquire AtaiBeckley in a deal worth about $2.8 billion and up to $3.8 billion in milestones, confirming a long-held thesis that big pharma would eventually capture the herbal medicine bid, even though the structure wasn’t particularly favorable for retail. COMPASS Pathways and Definium Therapeutics remain the other horses in the race.
In the first segment, Stettner looked back at market lending data from across the industry, explaining what carriers are borrowing for, the state markets are strong and what the numbers portend for the 2Q earnings season. He said the biggest surprise of the ALJ hearings was that there were no bombshells, almost boring formalities, where the federal government’s military presented really good evidence for the medical value of cannabis, while the opposition offered little substance. He then explained the mechanics of the early repayment cycle. FundCanna payouts are running at 97.8 cents on the dollar, versus a typical range of 94 to 97, with a faster capital cycle over the past two months, signaling healthier operators looking to scale post-schedule. He argued that the sector was being valued as if it was dead and that 280E relief plus Treasury guidance would fundamentally change these businesses.
In part two, Codex spoke out ahead of the federal hemp ban that takes effect Nov. 12, arguing for a one-plant, one-rule rule, that intoxicating hemp and cannabis are the same product, that synthetics should be banned, and that age restrictions, tracking and taxation should govern both. Driving pushed back if the hemp route survives the schedule at all, and they’ll explain where they split. Codes also detailed how short sellers can distort small-cap stocks through outright shorting, fraud and manipulation, reflected on Glass House Brands (NYSE: GLAS ) and previewed the company’s Aug. 28 call on the NYSE as the second U.S. plant operator to go public.
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