The U.S. cannabis industry is experiencing a mix of challenges and opportunities. While the oldest legal adult-use state markets saw declining revenues in 2022, the newly legalized east coast state markets are expected to drive growth in the medium-term. With more states legalizing either medical or adult-use markets, legal sales could reach $71 billion by 2030.
Key Points to Uncover:
Oldest legal adult-use state cannabis markets experienced declining revenues for the first time in 2022.
Newly legalized east coast state markets serve as a strong foundation for growth of the industry in the medium-term.
Legal sales could top $71 Billion by 2030 with 18 additional states positioned to legalize either medical or adult-use in the next decade.
96% of Americans will live in a state with some form of legal cannabis access if all 18 new states successfully pass legalization measures.
Political opposition in historically conservative states will continue to resist legalization efforts.
Registrations for medical programs trend up in medical-only states bordering newly legal adult-use states and trend down in states that legalize adult-use on top of existing medical programs.
Broader macro factors like inflation, high taxes and the illicit market could impact near-term revenues, but will have little impact on the surging levels of demand for legal cannabis.