Cannabis News
The Price of Cannabis Could Drop Over 50% with Full Federal Legalization? Margins are Bad Now, But Could Get Worse!
Published
2 months agoon
By
admin
Introduction
As Benzinga suggested first, new research suggests that cannabis prices in the United States could significantly decrease if the substance were legalized nationwide. Legalizing cannabis is expected to increase supply, reduce black market activity, and enable taxation, all of which would contribute to lower consumer prices.
Interstate commerece would be a huge benefits for consumers, think Amazon and overnight shipping, but while a boom for cannabis retailers bottom top line, their bottom line could take a beating as price competition and consumer access increases dramatically online and on smartphones. Full legalization, meaning not a criminal substance or requiring limited or no licensing, would allow new suppliers to come into the market from all over the world. Countries and states with low electricity, water, and labor costs could create a “rush to the bottom”; on pricing as they try and flood the market with products. For example, Colombia reports $0.06 a gram pricing on cannabis and is already exporting marijuana aroudn the world.
Currently in America, cannabis prices vary widely across states, influenced by local regulations and market dynamics. For instance, states with established legal markets, like Colorado and Washington, have seen prices decrease over time as competition increases and supply chains become more efficient. In contrast, illegal markets often drive prices up due to risks associated with law enforcement and limited supply.
The study highlights that legalization could also lead to economic benefits, such as increased tax revenue and job creation within the cannabis industry. As of 2024, 37 states and Washington, D.C., have legalized cannabis in some form, yet federal legalization remains a contentious issue. Advocates argue that legalizing cannabis would not only lower prices but also diminish the societal costs associated with prohibition, including law enforcement expenditures estimated at $3.6 billion annually.
Economic Benefits of Cannabis Legalization
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Tax Revenue: If cannabis were federally legal, it’s estimated the industry would amass $131.8 billion in federal tax revenue between 2017 and 2025[2]. This money could go toward programs that benefit communities, especially those disproportionately affected by the war on drugs.
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Job Creation: The cannabis industry is the fastest growing industry, doubling in size over the past four years and creating 121,000 full-time jobs[2]. It’s expected that legal cannabis jobs will grow by 250% over the next 10 years, more than any other industry.
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Savings from Prohibition Enforcement: The American Civil Liberties Union estimates that $7.7 billion is spent per year to enforce the war on drugs[2]. If taxed the same as tobacco and alcohol, cannabis could bring in as much as $6 billion per year.
State-Level Economic Impacts
A study examining state-level outcomes found that states that legalized recreational marijuana experienced statistically significant increases in their overall employment growth rate and average housing rents. The economic effects increased over time, with both employment growth rate and median rent growth becoming more statistically significant as more years passed after recreational legalization.
However, another study found that while there were moderate economic gains, these were accompanied by some social costs. Post-legalization, average state income grew by 3%, house prices by 6%, and population by 2%. But substance use disorders, chronic homelessness, and arrests increased by 17%, 35%, and 13%, respectively.
County-Level Analysis
The second analysis examined county-level data, investigating the economic impacts of legalizing recreational marijuana by exploiting the county/local options for whether recreational marijuana dispensaries are allowed. The study aimed to examine how the benefits are distributed between counties with and without recreational dispensaries and the types of local areas that especially benefit.
Colorado was used as a case study, as it was one of the earliest adopters of legalized recreational cannabis along with Washington[5]. The study looked at whether counties that allowed dispensaries had different outcomes than those who did not, such as the potential loss of young adults in communities that did not allow recreational sales.
Potential Negative Consequences
While the economic benefits of cannabis legalization are significant, there are also potential negative consequences to consider:
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Increased Substance Use: The legalization of cannabis has raised concerns about its potential impact on substance use, especially among young adults. Research indicates that legalization may lead to increased consumption in this demographic due to greater accessibility, enhanced social acceptance, and lower prices. As cannabis becomes more available, young adults may be more likely to experiment with it, which could result in higher rates of use and an increased risk of developing cannabis use disorders. Additionally, the introduction of potent products, such as edibles and concentrates, may further contribute to these trends. While legalization offers economic and social benefits, it is essential to consider its potential negative effects on substance use patterns among vulnerable populations like young adults.
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Healthcare Utilization: The legalization of cannabis has been linked to an increase in cannabis-related healthcare visits, raising important public health concerns. Studies from states like Colorado, the first to legalize recreational cannabis, have reported a significant rise in emergency department visits associated with cannabis use, with hospitalizations for cannabis abuse increasing by 27% compared to pre-legalization rates. This uptick includes not only cases of abuse but also acute effects such as psychosis and overdose. The increase in healthcare utilization may result from greater accessibility to cannabis, leading to higher consumption and more adverse health outcomes. While some research indicates that overall healthcare utilization may remain stable, the specific rise in cannabis-related visits underscores the need for ongoing monitoring and further research to understand the long-term health implications of legalization.
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Impaired Driving: The legalization of cannabis has raised concerns about its potential impact on public safety, particularly in relation to impaired driving. Several studies have found evidence of increased rates of driving under the influence of cannabis following legalization. For instance, research conducted in Colorado and Washington, two of the first states to legalize recreational cannabis, has shown a rise in the number of drivers involved in fatal crashes who tested positive for THC, the primary psychoactive compound in cannabis. This trend is particularly worrying given the well-established link between cannabis use and impaired cognitive and motor functions, which can significantly increase the risk of accidents. Furthermore, the legalization of cannabis may lead to a normalization of its use, potentially leading to more individuals driving while impaired. While the development of reliable roadside tests for cannabis impairment remains a challenge, the increase in impaired driving following legalization highlights the need for robust public education campaigns and the implementation of effective policies to address this critical issue.
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Mixed Findings on Attitudes: The literature on cannabis legalization reveals mixed findings regarding changes in public attitudes toward cannabis use. While some studies indicate increased acceptance and normalization, particularly among younger demographics, other research shows attitudes may not have shifted significantly or have become more polarized. Surveys in legalized states often report growing acceptance, viewing cannabis as a legitimate recreational option. However, certain segments, including older adults and those with prior negative experiences, may express more concern about potential societal impacts, such as youth use. The complexity of attitudes is influenced by personal experiences, cultural background, and ongoing media narratives. This mixed evidence underscores the need for continued research to understand how legalization affects perceptions and inform public policy and education efforts.
Conclusion
The potential legalization of cannabis nationwide in the United States presents an opportunity for significant reductions in cannabis prices, driven by increased supply, diminished black market activity, and the ability to impose taxation. While the economic benefits, such as enhanced tax revenue and job creation, are compelling, it is crucial to consider the associated negative consequences. These include increased substance use among young adults, a rise in cannabis-related healthcare visits, heightened instances of impaired driving, and mixed findings regarding public attitudes toward cannabis. Although the literature indicates various negative outcomes, the findings are often mixed and do not suggest large magnitude short-term impacts. Therefore, further research is essential to comprehensively understand the broader economic and social implications of cannabis legalization.
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Latest Trump Weed Rumor – Trump Will Federally Deschedule and Decriminalize Cannabis, but Not Legalize It
Published
14 hours agoon
November 14, 2024By
admin
In a recent interview, former New Jersey Governor Chris Christie made headlines by asserting that President-elect Donald Trump will pursue significant reforms in federal policies regarding marijuana and cryptocurrency. As the nation grapples with evolving attitudes toward cannabis and the burgeoning digital currency market, Christie’s predictions have ignited discussions about the potential implications of such changes on both industries. This article delves into Christie’s insights, the current state of marijuana and cryptocurrency regulations, and the broader implications of these anticipated reforms.
The Current Landscape of Marijuana Legislation
Federal vs. State Laws
Marijuana remains classified as a Schedule I substance under the Controlled Substances Act (CSA), which places it in the same category as heroin and LSD. This classification has created a complex legal landscape where states have moved to legalize cannabis for medical and recreational use, while federal law continues to impose strict prohibitions. As of now, over 30 states have legalized marijuana in some form, leading to a burgeoning industry that generates billions in revenue.
Challenges Faced by the Cannabis Industry
Despite its legality in many states, the cannabis industry faces significant hurdles due to federal restrictions. These challenges include:
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Banking Access: Many banks are hesitant to work with cannabis businesses due to fear of federal repercussions, forcing these businesses to operate largely in cash.
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Taxation Issues: The IRS enforces Section 280E of the tax code, which prohibits businesses engaged in illegal activities from deducting normal business expenses, leading to disproportionately high tax burdens for cannabis companies.
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Interstate Commerce: The lack of federal legalization prevents cannabis businesses from operating across state lines, limiting their growth potential.
Chris Christie’s Perspective on Marijuana Reform
Christie, a former presidential candidate known for his tough stance on drugs during his tenure as governor, has evolved his views on marijuana over the years. In his recent statements, he emphasized that Trump is likely to pursue descheduling cannabis, which would remove it from the Schedule I classification. This move would not only provide clarity for businesses operating in legal markets but also open avenues for banking and investment.
Christie highlighted that descheduling would allow for a more regulated market where safety standards could be established, thus protecting consumers. He believes that this approach aligns with a growing consensus among Americans who support legalization and recognize the potential benefits of cannabis use for both medical and recreational purposes.
The Future of Cryptocurrency Regulation = The Rise of Cryptocurrencies
Cryptocurrencies have surged in popularity over the past decade, with Bitcoin leading the charge as the first decentralized digital currency. The market has expanded to include thousands of alternative coins (altcoins), each with unique features and use cases. As cryptocurrencies gain traction among investors and consumers alike, regulatory scrutiny has intensified.
Current Regulatory Challenges
The cryptocurrency market faces several regulatory challenges that hinder its growth and adoption:
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Lack of Clarity: Regulatory frameworks vary significantly across states and countries, creating confusion for investors and businesses.
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Fraud and Scams: The rapid growth of cryptocurrencies has led to an increase in fraudulent schemes targeting unsuspecting investors.
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Consumer Protection: Without clear regulations, consumers are often left vulnerable to risks associated with volatile markets.
Christie’s Vision for Crypto Regulation
Christie believes that under Trump’s leadership, there will be an effort to find a “sweet spot” for cryptocurrency regulation balancing innovation with consumer protection. He argues that overly stringent regulations could stifle growth in this emerging sector while too little oversight could expose consumers to significant risks.
In his view, a balanced regulatory framework would include:
1. Clear Definitions: Establishing clear definitions for different types of cryptocurrencies and tokens to differentiate between securities and utility tokens.
2. Consumer Protections: Implementing measures to protect investors from fraud while promoting transparency within the market.
3. Encouraging Innovation: Creating an environment conducive to innovation by allowing startups to thrive without excessive regulatory burdens.
Christie’s insights reflect a growing recognition among policymakers that cryptocurrencies are here to stay and that appropriate regulations are necessary to foster growth while safeguarding consumers.
Implications of Proposed Reforms
Economic Impact
The potential reforms proposed by Christie could have far-reaching economic implications:
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Job Creation: Legalizing marijuana at the federal level could lead to significant job creation within the cannabis industry—from cultivation and production to retail sales.
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Investment Opportunities: Descheduling cannabis would open up investment opportunities for institutional investors who have been hesitant due to federal restrictions.
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Boosting Local Economies: Legal cannabis markets have proven beneficial for local economies through increased tax revenues and job creation.
Similarly, clear regulations around cryptocurrencies could stimulate investment in blockchain technology and related industries, fostering innovation and economic growth.
Social Justice Considerations
Both marijuana legalization and sensible cryptocurrency regulations have social justice implications:
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Addressing Past Injustices: Legalizing marijuana could help rectify past injustices related to drug enforcement policies that disproportionately affected marginalized communities.
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Financial Inclusion: Cryptocurrencies offer opportunities for financial inclusion for those underserved by traditional banking systems, particularly in low-income communities.
Political Landscape
The political landscape surrounding these issues is complex. While there is bipartisan support for marijuana reform among certain lawmakers, challenges remain in overcoming entrenched opposition. Similarly, cryptocurrency regulation has garnered attention from both sides of the aisle but requires collaboration to establish effective frameworks.
Conclusion
Chris Christie’s predictions about President-elect Donald Trump’s approach to federal marijuana descheduling and cryptocurrency regulation suggest a potential shift in U.S. policy that could significantly reshape both industries. As public opinion evolves on these issues, lawmakers have an opportunity to enact meaningful reforms that promote economic growth while ensuring consumer protection. The anticipated changes could foster a more robust cannabis industry that contributes positively to the economy and addresses social justice concerns, while clear regulatory frameworks for cryptocurrencies could encourage innovation and protect consumers in the digital economy. Stakeholders in both sectors are closely watching these developments, eager to see how potential reforms might impact their futures. While the realization of Christie’s predictions remains uncertain, it’s clear that the conversation around marijuana and cryptocurrency regulation is ongoing and far from settled.
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Cannabis News
Webinar Replay: Post-Election Cannabis Wrap – Smoke ’em if You’ve Got ’em
Published
2 days agoon
November 13, 2024By
admin
On Thursday, November 7th, Vince Sliwoski, Aaron Pelley and Fred Rocafort held a post election discussion “Post-Election Cannabis Wrap – Smoke ’em if You’ve Got ’em”. Watch the replay!
Key Takeaways from the “Smoke ’em if You’ve Got ’em – 2024 Post Election Cannabis Wrap” Webinar:
- Panelists:
- Vince Sliwoski: Oregon Business lawyer specializing in cannabis and commercial real estate.
- Aaron Pelley: Experienced in cannabis law since Washington’s legalization in 2012.
- Fred Rocafort: Trademark attorney working closely with the cannabis team.
- Election Results Overview:
- Most 2024 cannabis ballot measures did not pass.
- Florida, South Dakota, and North Dakota saw failures.
- Nebraska became the 39th state to legalize cannabis for medical use when it passed two cannabis initiatives, Initiatives 437 and 438.
- Federal and State-Level Developments:
- Medical use is currently legal in 38 states, and 24 states allow recreational use.
- Republican support for marijuana legalization is growing.
- Federal Policy Implications:
- Schedule III Rescheduling: The process to move cannabis to Schedule III is ongoing, which could significantly impact the industry.
- Importance of Federal Appointments: The future of cannabis policy depends heavily on who is appointed to key positions in the administration.
- International and Domestic Trade:
- Schedule III status could ease import/export restrictions on cannabis.
- Unified control of House, Senate, and presidency might expedite legislative progress.
- Economic and Industry Impact:
- Cannabis stocks experienced volatility post-election, reflecting investor uncertainty.
- Federal legalization and banking reforms are crucial for industry stability and growth.
- Future Outlook:
- The potential for federal rescheduling remains strong, with hearings scheduled for early 2025.
- State-level initiatives and regulatory developments will continue to shape the industry.
“How Long Does One Puff of Weed Stay in Your System?”… This topic can be difficult to answer since it is dependent on elements such as the size of the hit and what constitutes a “one hit.” If you take a large bong pull then cough, it might linger in your system for 5-7 days. A moderate dose from a joint can last 3-5 days, whereas a few hits from a vaporizer may last 1-3 days.
The length of time that marijuana stays in the body varies based on a number of factors, including metabolism, THC levels, frequency of use, and hydration.
Delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol, or THC, is the primary psychoactive component of cannabis. THC and its metabolites, which remain in your body long after the effects have subsided, are detected by drug tests.
Since these metabolites are fat-soluble, they cling to bodily fat molecules. They could thus take a while to fully pass through your system, particularly if your body fat percentage is higher.
THC is absorbed by tissues and organs (including the brain, heart, and fat) and converted by the liver into chemicals such as 11-hydroxy-THC and carboxy-THC. Cannabis is eliminated in feces at a rate of around 65%, while urine accounts for 20%. The leftover amount might be kept within the body.
THC deposited in bodily tissues ultimately re-enters the circulation and is processed by the liver. For frequent users, THC accumulates in fatty tissues quicker than it can be removed, thus it may be detectable in drug tests for days or weeks following consumption.
The detection time varies according to the amount and frequency of cannabis usage. Higher dosages and regular usage result in longer detection times.
The type of drug test also affects detection windows. Blood and saliva tests typically detect cannabis metabolites for shorter periods, while urine and hair samples can reveal use for weeks or even months. In some cases, hair tests have detected cannabis use over 90 days after consumption.
Detection Windows for Various Cannabis Drug Tests
Urine Tests
Among all drug tests, urine testing is the most commonly used method for screening for drug use in an individual.
Detection times vary, but a 2017 review suggests the following windows for cannabis in urine after last use:
– Single-use (e.g., one joint): up to 3 days
– Moderate use (around 4 times a week): 5–7 days
– Chronic use (daily): 10–15 days
– Chronic heavy use (multiple times daily): over 30 days
Blood Tests
Blood tests generally detect recent cannabis use, typically within 2–12 hours after consumption. However, in cases of heavy use, cannabis has been detected up to 30 days later. Chronic heavy use can extend the detection period in the bloodstream.
Saliva Tests
THC can enter saliva through secondhand cannabis smoke, but THC metabolites are only present if you’ve personally smoked or ingested cannabis.
Saliva testing has a short detection window and can sometimes identify cannabis use on the same day. A 2020 review found that THC was detectable in the saliva of frequent users for up to 72 hours after use, and it may remain in saliva longer than in blood following recent use.
In areas where cannabis is illegal, saliva testing is often used for roadside screenings.
Hair Tests
Hair follicle tests can detect cannabis use for up to 90 days. After use, cannabinoids reach the hair follicles through small blood vessels and from sebum and sweat surrounding the hair.
Hair grows at approximately 0.5 inches per month, so a 1.5-inch segment of hair close to the scalp can reveal cannabis use over the past three months.
Factors Affecting THC and Metabolite Retention
The length of time THC and its metabolites stay in your system depends on various factors. Some, like body mass index (BMI) and metabolic rate, relate to individual body processing, not the drug itself.
Other factors are specific to cannabis use, including:
– Dosage: How much you consume
– Frequency: How often you use cannabis
– Method of consumption: Smoking, dabbing, edibles, or sublingual
– THC potency: Higher potency can extend detection time
Higher doses and more frequent use generally extend THC retention. Cannabis consumed orally may remain in the system slightly longer than smoked cannabis, and stronger cannabis strains, higher in THC, may also stay detectable for a longer period.
How Quickly Do the Effects of Cannabis Set In?
When smoking cannabis, effects appear almost immediately, while ingested cannabis may take 1–3 hours to peak.
The psychoactive component THC produces a “high” with common effects such as:
– Altered senses, including perception of time
– Mood changes
– Difficulty with thinking and problem-solving
– Impaired memory
Other short-term effects can include:
– Anxiety and confusion
– Decreased coordination
– Dry mouth and eyes
– Nausea or lightheadedness
– Trouble focusing
– Increased appetite
– Rapid heart rate
– Restlessness and sleepiness
In rare cases, high doses may lead to hallucinations, delusions, or acute psychosis.
Regular cannabis use may have additional mental and physical effects. While research is ongoing, cannabis use may increase the risk of:
– Cognitive issues like memory loss
– Cardiovascular problems including heart disease and stroke
– Respiratory illnesses such as bronchitis or lung infections
– Mood disorders like depression and anxiety
Cannabis use during pregnancy can negatively impact fetal growth and development.
Duration of Effects
Short-term effects generally taper off within 1–3 hours, but for chronic users, some long-term effects may last days, weeks, or even months. Certain effects may even be permanent.
Bottom Line
The amount of time that cannabis remains in your system following a single use varies greatly depending on individual characteristics such as body fat, metabolism, frequency of use, and mode of intake. Frequent users may maintain traces of THC for weeks, whereas infrequent users may test positive for as little as a few days. Hair tests can disclose usage for up to 90 days, while blood and saliva tests identify more recent use. Urine tests are the most popular and have varying detection durations. The duration that THC and its metabolites are detectable will ultimately depend on a number of factors, including dose, strength, and individual body chemistry.
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