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Rescheduling? Does Delta-8 Win the Day? Credit Cards to Buy Weed?

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cannabis predictions in 2024

Predictions For The Cannabis Industry In 2024 – What Does 2024 Hold For The Weed Industry?

 

A lot went down this year for the cannabis industry.

 

It was the year the world finally bloomed into a post-pandemic era, benefiting all kinds of industries including that of the cannabis industry. For the businesses that survived, the market did get tougher and more competitive than ever. However, there were incredible acquisitions, and several businesses finished this year stronger than ever too.

 

Also, polls reflected a growing support among Americans for cannabis legalization. Pot continues to grow as the substance of choice for overall well-being, and improved accessibility and growing legalization is good news for consumers all around the nation.

 

That said, it wasn’t without its challenges. Many businesses had no choice but to go bankrupt, close down offices in several states, and face the constant difficulties that came with taxation, finances, and banking. Cannabis still hasn’t been legalized on the federal level, leaving most of us feeling exhausted – but the fight must go on.

 

2023 is also the year that Professor Raphael Mechoulam passed away; also known as the Godfather of THC, Mechoulam and his team of researchers are singlehandedly responsible for the most important breakthroughs of cannabis we know today. He isolated THC, identified the endocannabinoid system, researched cannabinoids heavily, and advocated for marijuana research more than anyone else ever has.

 

So what can we expect or look forward to in 2024?

 

A Focus on Hemp-Derived Cannabinoids

 

Psychoactive THC and sedating CBD are no longer the two most famous cannabinoids in marijuana. Over the past few years, there has been a growing interest in the other cannabinoids found in the plant, and the myriad of therapeutic benefits they bring about. As a result, brands have launched several different kinds of products made with various cannabinoids, including those from hemp, such as Delta-8, Delta-9, and Delta-10.

 

Whitney Economics released a report a few weeks ago, revealing the strength of the hemp-derived cannabinoids market. According to the report, entitled: 2023 US National Hemp-Derived Cannabinoid Report, the demand for these cannabinoids amounted to $28.4 billion, much bigger than the legal sales of medical and recreational marijuana combined in 2022. That’s huge!

 

However, we have to see how lawmakers treat these cannabinoids, as delta-8 THC has become notorious for potential dangers due to lack of regulations.

 

Additionally, the increasingly massive cannabis beverage industry has already been infusing hemp-derived cannabinoids into their drinks. This has also caught the eye of alcohol and beverage giants, so we’ve already begun to see hemp-derived cannabinoids in drinks being sold in all kinds of drink stores around the country. It won’t be long before we start seeing them in statewide and national chains.

 

Will Cannabis Be Rescheduled?

We have been waiting far too long for cannabis to be rescheduled or descheduled. Even changing of categories would greatly give the industry a much-needed boost.

Experts predict that there is a big possibility this may finally happy, just before the 2024 Elections. Doing so will immediately benefit cannabis companies more than any other reform or law, most especially when it comes to taxes because the current Schedule 1 category of cannabis prevents businesses from accounting typical business expenses.

In particular, the IRS tax code 280 as mentioned above would no longer be applicable to cannabis businesses. This will make cannabis businesses profitable.

 

Even while cannabis should be descheduled entirely instead of just rescheduling it to Schedule III, a Schedule II status would be disappointing but it would definitely be better than nothing. If weed was moved to a Schedule II status, it would help push the SAFER Banking Act, which increases the chances of cannabis businesses to access the financial support they have badly needed. Should the SAFER Banking Act pass, customers would finally be able to pay for their weed purchases using a credit card, and it would enable businesses to have access to capital, insurance, and even retirement benefits for their staff. The tax deductions would also contribute to businesses’ bottom lines.

 

Greater Variation As Well As Stability In Products

 

In 2023, most were surprised to see companies using cannabis trim or shake in products.

 

Stoners once though these excess trim from cannabis was useless, and tossed it away. We’ve now become more prudent and creative as consumers as well as businesses, so we no longer throw shake and trim away. That’s primarily because it’s a much cheaper way to get high or medicate; they’re significantly more affordable than bud and with people pinching pennies, it’s the way to go. These are excellent choices for smoking as well as for making tinctures, topicals, tea, and edibles.

 

Also, pre-rolls will continue to surge. Reports have shown that pre-rolls continued to surpass flower for many years not just in the United States but in Canada as well. Multipacks as well as pre-rolls are among the top categories for sales in North America, which may result to a decrease in prices for oils as well as flower. We can expect to see better quality pre-rolls at better prices next year onwards.

 

Conclusion


These are just some of the many exciting things we can look forward to in 2024 for the legal cannabis market in the United States. It will be an exciting ride for sure, but one that’s action-packed and will have its fair share of bumps along the way – and a handful of lessons to take into the following year. One thing’s for sure: the cannabis industry is only going forward and not backward!

 

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The US Suddenly Has Two Pro-Marijuana Legalization Candidates, But Only One is Believable 60 Days Before the Election

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Trump and Harris both support cannabis legalization

“Don’t Believe the Hype” – Public Enemy

In a surprising move, former President Donald Trump has publicly endorsed the legalization of cannabis, arguing that the criminalization of marijuana “ruins lives” and “wastes taxpayer dollars.” Speaking at a rally in Florida, Trump expressed confidence that voters will support a marijuana legalization initiative on the November ballot, stating, “I really believe it’s the right thing to do.”

Trump’s comments come at a time when public support for cannabis legalization is at an all-time high, with recent surveys indicating that approximately 78% of American adults favor legalization. The economic implications of this shift are significant, with the cannabis industry currently employing around 500,000 people and generating $29 billion in sales last year, a figure projected to rise to $37 billion by 2027.

The Harris camp immediately accussed the Trump camp of a “brazen flip-flop” on marijuana legalization just before the election in order ot try and lure swing voters. Based on Trump’s past presidency and his work with Attorney General Sessions during his first term, he is certainly no fan of marijuana, marijuana legalization, or was in any rush to support states that establisted legal, medical cannabis programs.  As they say in life, “watch what someone does, not what they say 60 days before an election”, Trump had his chance as Commander-In-Chef and put the marijuana movement back 5 steps when he was in office.

This certainly smells fishy from the start based on his track record on drugs, alcohol, and marijuana legalization. Remember, he actually took steps in his Presidency to shut the marijuana movement down in America according to the New York Times.

 

Harris, on the other hand, claims to be for rescheduling cannabis and even legalizatio,n and a large clemency program. While she has been Vice-President for 4 years and legalization has not happened, her boss, President Biden, is no fan of drugs and has been on a founding memeber of the “War on Drugs” for over 40 years in office.  So no, Harris has not “had her chance” the way Trump has had his chance as the actual President. As many know, the Vice-President’s roll in some instances is more for show and to take tours and visits the president does not have time or want to to do. 

 

Harris has a “yet to be determined, yet things look good” on her marijuana legalization report card.

 

As MJBIZ covered in their artice on who would be better for marijuana reform going forward..

During a relatively quiet few years as vice president, Harris stumped for Biden’s generational advances in marijuana reform.

She was out front on the Biden administration’s pardons for former federal marijuana offenders as well as the October 2022 executive order that culminated in the Justice Department’s proposal this spring to move marijuana from Schedule 1 to Schedule 3 of the Controlled Substances Act.

“She’s actually gone further than (Biden),” said Bryan Barash, vice president of external affairs and deputy general counsel at Dutchie, an Oregon-based online cannabis sales platform.

“She’s said, ‘We can’t stop until there’s full legalization,’ which he has never said.”

In other words, Harris has the best record on marijuana reform of any major presidential candidate, including Biden.

 

Economic Implications of Legalization

 

The economic implications of cannabis legalization are substantial. The cannabis industry has rapidly evolved into a multi-billion dollar market, employing around 500,000 people and generating $29 billion in sales in the past year alone. Projections indicate that this figure could rise to $37 billion by 2027, highlighting the potential for job creation and economic growth in states that choose to legalize cannabis.

 

  • Job creation: Legalizing cannabis could create thousands of jobs across various sectors, significantly boosting the economy. In agriculture, the cultivation of cannabis will require a workforce for planting, harvesting, and processing. The retail sector will also expand, as dispensaries will need staff for sales and management roles. Additionally, manufacturing jobs will emerge to produce cannabis-infused products, such as edibles and oils. Overall, legalization can lead to substantial job creation in agriculture, retail, and manufacturing, benefiting local communities and economies.

 

  • Tax Revenue: Legalizing cannabis could create thousands of jobs across various sectors, providing a significant boost to the economy. In agriculture, the cultivation of cannabis will require workers for planting and harvesting. The retail sector will also expand, as dispensaries will need staff for sales and management roles. Additionally, manufacturing jobs will emerge to produce cannabis-infused products like edibles and oils. Overall, legalization can lead to substantial job creation, benefiting local communities and economies.

 

 

  • Economic Growth:  A legal cannabis market has the potential to stimulate economic growth, especially in economically disadvantaged areas. By establishing regulated cannabis businesses, communities can attract investment and create new revenue streams, leading to job creation and increased local spending. This influx of economic activity can revitalize struggling neighborhoods, providing opportunities for entrepreneurship and supporting ancillary businesses, such as suppliers and service providers. Additionally, the tax revenue generated from cannabis sales can be reinvested into public services, infrastructure, and community development projects, further enhancing the overall economic landscape. Ultimately, legalizing cannabis can serve as a catalyst for sustainable growth and revitalization in areas that need it most

 

 Health Benefits and Opioid Reduction

 

Trump also emphasized the health advantages of legal cannabis, particularly its potential role in managing chronic pain and reducing reliance on opioids. This point is especially relevant given the ongoing opioid epidemic, which has claimed hundreds of thousands of lives in recent years.

 

 

 

  • Mental Health Benefits: Emerging research suggests that cannabis may also have therapeutic benefits for mental health conditions, such as anxiety and depression, further supporting its legalization.

 

Disproportionate Impact on Communities of Color

Trump’s advocacy for cannabis legalization also reflects a growing awareness of the disproportionate impact of cannabis criminalization on communities of color. Over 40,000 individuals remain incarcerated for non-violent cannabis offenses, with Black and Hispanic individuals being significantly more likely to face prosecution and harsher sentences for cannabis-related crimes.

 

 

  • Social Equity Programs: Many states that have legalized cannabis have implemented social equity programs aimed at helping communities disproportionately affected by the War on Drugs, providing opportunities for entrepreneurship and economic participation in the legal cannabis market.

 

  • Expungement of Records: Legalization efforts often include provisions for expunging the records of individuals previously convicted of non-violent cannabis offenses, allowing them to reintegrate into society without the stigma of a criminal record.

 

Shifting Political Landscape

 

Trump’s endorsement of cannabis legalization represents a significant shift in the political discourse surrounding the issue. Historically, the Republican Party has been more resistant to legalization efforts, with many conservatives expressing concerns about the potential for increased drug use and public safety risks. However, as public opinion has shifted and the economic and social benefits of legalization have become more apparent, some Republican leaders have begun to reconsider their stance.

 

 

  • Influence of State-Level Legalization: The success of state-level legalization efforts has provided a blueprint for national policy changes, demonstrating that cannabis can be regulated effectively without compromising public safety.

 

Potential Impact on the 2024 Election

Trump’s support for cannabis legalization could have significant implications for the 2024 presidential election, particularly if he decides to run again. By aligning himself with a popular issue that enjoys broad bipartisan support, Trump may be able to attract a wider range of voters, including younger and more progressive-leaning individuals who have traditionally been skeptical of Republican candidates.

 

  • Engaging Younger Voters: Younger voters, who are more likely to support cannabis legalization, could be crucial for Trump’s campaign, potentially swaying their votes in his favor.

  • Broadening the Republican Base: By embracing cannabis legalization, Trump may be able to broaden the Republican base and attract independent voters who prioritize social justice and economic reform.

 

 

Conclusion

Donald Trump’s endorsement of cannabis legalization marks a significant milestone in the ongoing effort to end the criminalization of marijuana in the United States. By acknowledging the negative impact of prohibition on individuals, communities, and taxpayers, and highlighting the potential benefits of legalization, Trump is adding his voice to a growing chorus of advocates who believe that it is time for a new approach to cannabis policy. As the 2024 election cycle approaches, it will be fascinating to observe how Trump’s stance on this issue shapes the political landscape and influences the debate over the future of cannabis in America. With public support at an all-time high and the economic and social benefits becoming increasingly clear, the momentum for cannabis legalization appears poised to continue growing in the years to come.

 

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What State Just Dropped Below $80 an Ounce for Legal Cannabis? A. Florida B. Michigan C. California D. New York

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cannabis price drops michigan

In a significant development for Michigan’s cannabis industry, retail prices have fallen below $80 per ounce as of September 4, 2024. This historic milestone, reflecting a nearly 14.5% decline from the previous year, signals a major shift in market dynamics.

The price drop is driven by increased competition among licensed dispensaries, a growing supply of cannabis products, and the maturation of the market since the legalization of recreational use in 2018. More dispensaries and cultivation facilities have led to competitive pricing and greater product availability, making cannabis more affordable for consumers and potentially boosting legal sales.

As a leader in the Midwest’s cannabis landscape, Michigan’s regulatory framework supports both medical and recreational markets, generating significant tax revenue and job opportunities. As the industry evolves, stakeholders must navigate challenges and capitalize on emerging opportunities.

 

Factors Behind the Price Drop

The surge in the number of licensed dispensaries in Michigan since the legalization of recreational cannabis in 2018, coupled with the expansion of cultivation facilities, has led to a significant increase in the supply and availability of cannabis products. With more dispensaries offering a wider variety of choices for consumers, the market has become increasingly competitive, with retailers employing pricing strategies to attract customers. This growth in the number of dispensaries and cultivation facilities has enabled dispensaries to offer lower prices to consumers, making cannabis more accessible and affordable.

 

As the cannabis market matures, both producers and retailers have optimized their operations, leading to reduced costs that are often passed on to consumers. Enhanced cultivation techniques and economies of scale have played a crucial role in lowering production expenses, allowing businesses to improve efficiency and increase output. This combination of operational optimization and cost reduction not only benefits producers and retailers but also makes cannabis products more affordable and accessible for consumers, fostering a healthier and more competitive market environment.

The market has become oversaturated with cannabis products, particularly following significant outdoor harvests. This oversupply has led to a decrease in prices as producers and retailers compete to sell excess inventory.

Michigan currently has no statewide cap on the number of cannabis business licenses, resulting in explosive growth in both supply and demand. This unrestricted licensing has intensified competition among businesses, driving prices downward as they vie for market share.

 

 Implications for Consumers and the Industry

The recent drop in cannabis prices has made the product more affordable for a broader segment of the population, enabling consumers to access quality cannabis without financial strain. This increased affordability not only allows more individuals to enjoy legal cannabis but also promotes responsible use and consumption, as people are more likely to make informed choices when quality products are within reach. By removing financial barriers, the industry is fostering a healthier relationship with cannabis among consumers, contributing to a more informed and responsible market.

 

The potential boost in sales volume is another significant implication of the lower cannabis prices in Michigan. As the cost of cannabis becomes more affordable, more consumers are likely to enter the market, leading to an increase in overall sales. Dispensaries may experience higher foot traffic as a result of this increased interest in cannabis products, directly benefiting from the lower prices. This influx of new consumers and higher sales volume could further solidify the industry’s growth and sustainability in the state, as businesses capitalize on the greater demand for their products.

The competitive pricing of legal cannabis products in Michigan has the potential to curb illegal sales by making regulated options more attractive to consumers. As the cost of legal cannabis becomes more affordable and accessible, individuals may be more inclined to purchase from licensed dispensaries rather than the black market. This shift towards regulated products not only supports the legal industry but also enhances public safety and quality assurance. By choosing legal cannabis, consumers can be confident in the safety, purity, and potency of the products they purchase, reducing the risks associated with unregulated, illicit markets. As more consumers opt for legal cannabis due to the competitive pricing, the state can expect to see a decline in illegal sales and an improvement in overall public health and safety.

 

Michigan’s Cannabis Landscape

 

Since the legalization of recreational cannabis in Michigan, the state has become a pioneer in cannabis reform within the Midwest. With a comprehensive regulatory framework in place, Michigan supports both medical and recreational markets, fostering a thriving industry that has generated significant tax revenue and job opportunities.

 

The cannabis industry in Michigan has significantly contributed millions in tax revenue, which is allocated to vital areas such as education, infrastructure, and public health initiatives. Additionally, the industry’s growth has led to job creation across cultivation, distribution, and retail sectors, providing numerous employment opportunities for residents. This dual impact not only supports the state’s economy but also enhances community well-being through improved public services and increased job availability.-

As cannabis prices continue to decrease in Michigan, making the products more accessible to a wider consumer base, there is a growing need for comprehensive consumer education. Dispensaries are increasingly taking on the responsibility of educating their customers on responsible use, product selection, and the effects of various cannabis strains. By offering workshops and informational resources, dispensaries aim to help consumers make informed choices and develop a deeper understanding of the products they consume. This proactive approach to consumer education not only promotes responsible use but also fosters a more informed and engaged cannabis community in the state.

 

Conclusion

The decline in cannabis prices to below $80 per ounce is a significant development for Michigan, highlighting the success of Its regulatory framework and the positive impact on consumers. As the market matures, stakeholders will need to remain vigilant in addressing challenges while capitalizing on the opportunities presented by this dynamic industry.

 

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Loper Comes for the DEA. Will it Matter, Though?

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Earlier this week, the federal Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals, in a case entitled Anderson v. Diamondback Investment Group, LLC, handed the DEA a big loss when it comes to hemp – at least for now. In Anderson, the court held that DEA’s interpretation that a host of hemp-derived products were illegal was essentially wrong. Today I want to talk about why Anderson is – and isn’t really – important.

Anderson, as I wrote more than a month ago, was based in relevant part on Loper Bright Enterprises v. Raimondo, a 2024 US Supreme Court decision. Here’s what I said then:

Loper ended what’s often referred to as “Chevron deference.” To vastly oversimplify, Chevron deference required federal courts to defer to reasonable agency interpretations of ambiguous statutes, even if courts did not agree with those interpretations. With Chevron dead, courts will not be required to defer to agencies and courts can decide, on their own, whether an agency’s interpretation was within its statutory authority.

Ever since Loper was decided, there have been a million different theories on how it could affect the cannabis and hemp industries. [For the record, I agree with folks like Shane Pennington who argue that Loper will not affect rescheduling.]

When it comes to hemp though, Loper may in theory have more of an impact, as my colleague, Vince Sliwoski, argued prior to Loper‘s publication. That’s because the DEA routinely issues what amount to opinion letters as to whether this or that cannabinoid is or is not a schedule I narcotic. Under Loper, if there were any statutory ambiguity, the DEA’s interpretation would no longer be given deference. That’s not to say that the DEA might not prevail, but it means the deck would be less stacked in DEA’s favor.

And that is essentially what happened in Anderson. Without getting into the factual weeds of the case, an employee had been terminated after drug tests allegedly showed marijuana use. She sued, in part claiming that she used legal hemp-derived products. The court ultimately held that she had failed to provide they were legal because she did not introduce sufficient evidence that the hemp products had less than 0.3% delta-9 THC.

However, for purposes of this post, the important part of the Anderson decision was its discussion of the 2018 Farm Bill and DEA’s interpretations of the legality of various cannabinoids under that law. One specific cannabinoid that the court analyzed was THC-O, which does not occur naturally but is created from hemp derivatives.

For years, there has been a heated debate as to whether hemp-derived products like delta-8 THC are considered “hemp” under the 2018 Farm Bill. The debate centers around whether these products are “synthetic” because they are derived from other cannabinoids. This is important because DEA considers synthetic cannabinoids to be controlled substances.

A few years ago, in AK Futures LLC v. Boyd Street Distro, LLC, the Ninth Circuit Court of Appeals addressed the issue (albeit in a much different context), and held that delta-8 THC products derived from hemp with less than 0.3% THC were legal under the 2018 Farm Bill.

Importantly, Anderson found AK Futures persuasive, holding:

“we think the Ninth Circuit’s interpretation of the 2018 Farm Act is the better of the two. And we’re free to make that determination ourselves, despite a contrary interpretation from the DEA, because we agree with the Ninth Circuit that [the 2018 Farm Bill’s definition of hemp] is unambiguous . . ., and because even if it were ambiguous, we needn’t defer to the agency’s interpretation [as a result of the Loper decision].”

Crucially, Anderson held that “rather than originating from organic matter—like the hemp-derived cannabinoids at issue—, synthetic cannabinoids are just that: compounds manufactured entirely out of synthetic materials.”

To summarize all of this, according to the Fourth Circuit, if a product is derived from hemp and does not contain more than 0.3% THC, it is legal. This includes things pulled directly from the plant, or things like delta-8 THC which may take other processes to produce. But, any cannabinoid derived purely from synthetic materials would not be considered “hemp” under the 2018 Farm Bill.

All of that said, Anderson probably won’t matter much. As I noted in in July:

[A]ll of [the discussion about Loper] is almost certainly academic – at least if Congress passes the Farm Bill with proposed amendments that would ban intoxicating hemp products. If that happens, the DEA won’t need to opine on the legality of many (if not most or all) intoxicating hemp products. The law would have already changed to prohibit them expressly.

But what happens if the upcoming Farm Bill doesn’t contain bans on intoxicating hemp products? Things will almost certainly not end there. The FDA, which has been hostile to many hemp products since the day the 2018 Farm Bill was passed, could simply claim products are adulterated or misbranded and seek to pull them from the market. It does this with kratom, which is an unscheduled plant, and there’s no reason why it could not do it here (subject again to FDA having to prove its case in a post-Loper court challenge).

And, as I noted, federal law isn’t the only thing that matters:

Things are also not looking great for intoxicating hemp products at the state and local levels. The State of Virginia, for example, just levied nearly $11 million in fines against more than 300 retailers allegedly selling state-prohibited intoxicating hemp products. Out west, the Colorado attorney general sued a business in June for allegedly selling super-high THC products marketed as federally legal hemp.

We also assume that there is a lot of local enforcement actions that go under the radar – things like state or local public health officials pulling products from shelves or warning stores. That can be harder to track if for no other reason than it doesn’t often make the news. We also assume that a lot of the reports concerning enforcement against alleged illegal marijuana stores or operators, including in places like New York, may miss the legal nuances between intoxicating hemp products and illegal cannabis products.

In sum, the intoxicating cannabinoid industry just won the battle with DEA, but it’s probably not going to win the war.



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