Over the past several years, we’ve watched Americans undergo a seismic shift around their perspective on cannabis. Typically, conservative groups like baby boomers and professional golfers have all embraced the plant in larger numbers as of late. Women have popularized alternative consumption methods, like edibles and topicals. And the wellness world is obsessed with CBD oil.
But as much as things change, they also stay the same. A new study found that despite this dramatic turn, most cannabis users predominantly choose smoking as their consumption preference and love listening to rock music while doing so. The Summer of Love happened more than 50 years ago, but its influence hasn’t really gone away.
Marketing firm Ipsos teamed with PAX Labs to survey more than 2,700 American and Canadian adults aged 21 and over to learn more about modern cannabis trends. (Only Americans in recreationally legal states were polled.) Questions included how often they consumed and why, as well as where they bought their marijuana and what they liked doing while using.
What probably doesn’t surprise you is that most marijuana users admit to consuming at least once per week (61%). However, the poll found that more Americans smoked cannabis than Canadians, despite the plant’s federally illegal status in the States. Canadians still prefer buying weed from their friends, whereas Americans opt to purchase theirs at dispensaries. Most interestingly, Americans were more likely to discuss using marijuana after a first date (53%) than Canadians (37%). Also worth noting: 92% of people admitted that marijuana enhanced their sex lives.
Another activity appreciated more by weed is listening to music, with about half of respondents saying they do so while smoking. One limitation of the study is we’re not what age these people are, because 50% of those polled saying classic rock was their genre of choice while smoking seems like a generational preference. Hip-hop, a genre more popular with millennials, came in second with 39% and pop followed in third with 36%.
American and Canadians agree in how they prefer consuming marijuana—smoking, with 61% of all respondents claiming it as their go-to method. But Americans eat more edibles than Canadians (21% to 17%) while also vaping more (16% to 11%). Overall most people like using cannabis “to wind down after a long day,” with 67% of both Canadians and Americans responding in the affirmative.
Everyone has a favorite flavor. Instinctually you know what that is whether it’s candy, soda, or popsicles. However, that may change with cannabis edibles and beverages, as sales data shows certain flavors rise above the rest for consumer wallets.
The company identified 73 different flavors currently sold on the market, which can range from hibiscus to red velvet. By a large margin, customers purchase citrus-flavored cannabis beverages and unspecified flavored gummy edibles more than any competing flavored product, according to Headset Analytics data.
Raspberry and watermelon are also popular with customers. But citrus and lemonade flavored beverages constituted approximately 24.2% of beverage sales over the past month for a reason.
“Citrus flavors are a great way to mask any residual flavor from the cannabis without making the product overwhelmingly sweet,” Liz Connors, Headset’s Director of Analytics, told The Fresh Toast. “Additionally, I think citrus likely just pairs better with the herbal taste from the THC than other flavors might.”
These flavor preferences change with the market, although for reasons that appear unclear. Canadian markets gravitate to milk chocolate edibles far more than American markets do. Milk chocolate commands more than 50% of all edible sales in British Columbia, Alberta, and Ontario provinces. But legal state markets mostly gravitate to cannabis gummies and candies, with different flavor preferences depending on the state.
Connors hopes retailers and producers use this data to find area of opportunity in the marketplace. “For example, if Berry flavors are common in Gummies but not in Candies this could be a space for a producer to innovate on flavors,” she said.
Fruity flavors like melon, pomegranate, and blueberry were generally more expensive than dessert flavors like chocolate, peanut butter, or snickerdoodle. But neither the cheapest flavor, honey, or the most expensive, eucalyptus, were top choices for consumers.
So what do customers care about more: price or flavor?
“I suspect that price is the primary driver over flavor,” Connors said. “This is mostly due to the fact that unlike a package of Haribo gummy bears you’re likely only eating one or two cannabis gummies. Even if it’s not your favorite flavor you won’t likely be consuming very many.”
What is the future of the United States (U.S.) cannabis industry? While operators wait on the Biden administration to reschedule the herb and for Congress to pass some banking legislation, several states have provided tax relief within their borders.
But what is the overall trajectory? What is the potential of the future U.S. cannabis industry? CLN chatted with Nawan Butt, Portfolio Manager at Purpose Investments, for answers.
“It’s very important to understand that there has been many times before that regulation has seemed to move forward and come to a full stop,” says Nawan. “So even though there is a progress, hope remains very disdained given the history.”
Handicapping the U.S. Cannabis Industry
Inaction in Washington, D.C., handicaps the future of the U.S. cannabis industry.
While some suspect the Biden administration will reschedule cannabis by the end of the year, others think Biden will dangle the legalization carrot for the 2024 election, much like Justin Trudeau did in Canada in 2015.
Regardless, the repeated failures of the SAFE Banking Act to pass the Senate have frustrated cannabis operators across the nation. Cannabis operators are dealing with large quantities of cash. Banks deny them essential services, like access to lines of credit.
“Most recently,” Nawan reminds us, “Visa and Mastercard pulled all their operations from cannabis businesses. That’s the handicap that these businesses have had to deal with.”
However, there are actions state governments can take to take the pressure off their local cannabis industry. Several states are looking into tax relief.
“The tax relief has just started,” says Nawan. “It’s important to understand it’s only very few states.” Right now, New York and Illinois are in the spotlight. But it’s too early to tell how effective this relief will be.
“We will see positives come out of it,” says Nawan. Since allowing businesses to deduct operating expenses from gross income means they can keep more of their money.
But Nawan’s interest is in federal regulation. “Right now,” he says, “It’s a very, very onerous taxation on these businesses.”
Future of the U.S. Cannabis Industry
Nawan hopes for a future U.S. cannabis industry that doesn’t harm operators or punish consumers. Specifically, federal regulations that “allow for the financial system to get involved within cannabis.” Then, he says, “People can pay for their cannabis with their credit cards.”
“On the business side,” he says, “we’re talking about growth capital coming back into place, which means the opportunity to borrow money and open stores or open cultivation that will be offered to more and more people so more people can get involved in the business of cannabis.”
Current barriers prevent less capital-intensive producers from competing against those with deep pockets. As well, location matters.
If we take a look at something like Florida, Florida has hundreds and hundreds of stores, but they’re only medical. And if we take something like New York, even though adult use is legal, we’ve only seen about a dozen stores or so open. And that’s because different states rolled out their regulation in a different manner.
Nawan hopes that federal regulation means “access to growth capital, something that they have been missing for a good part of two and a half years now.”
But it isn’t just the lack of access to capital and banking that threatens the U.S. cannabis industry. The banks themselves view anything cannabis related as tainted.
Bank of America, says Nawan, “made a lot of investors actually liquidate their holdings” that were cannabis related. “We’ve seen a lot of people not be able to participate within the space as they’ve wanted to. That will also be lifted if we have either a federal de-scheduling or if the Safe Act goes through.”
Nawan says regulatory change is in the future of the U.S. cannabis industry. It’s not a matter of “if” but “when.”
TerrAscend Leading by Example?
What is the future of the U.S. cannabis industry? And when will it happen?
Many cannabis operators aren’t content to sit around and wait for changes from Washington. Many, according to Nawan, are asking themselves:
How long can we keep on making good money, and how can we better our operations so we’re making more money with the same footprint that we have right now? Because we don’t know necessarily what the picture looks like going into next year, and how much capital we need to have on our sheet given the onerous taxation that we are paying.
Nawan adds that if it weren’t for excessive taxation, “a lot of these companies would be in a much better picture for growth. It’s an exorbitant amount and it does hold the companies back from their growth.”
But while most companies play the waiting game, others have been proactive. TerrAscend is one of these companies. They’ve gone from the Canadian Securities Exchange to the Toronto Stock Exchange.
The latter provides greater access to liquidity, leading to TerrAscend’s removal from blacklists from institutions like Morgan Stanley.
With more access to investors, TerrAscend has raised $25 million in commercial loans with Stearns Bank. Their stock is up 30%. Nawan calls them a trailblazer in the cannabis industry’s attempt to find regulatory workarounds.
“What they’ve done is,” says Nawan.
They’ve said that as long as you have a shell that is Canadian and holds Canadian assets, you can consolidate your holdings up to the Toronto Stock Exchange, which is what TerrAscend has done. We think this is a brilliant move from TerrAscend to really allow the proliferation of access to their stock. It allows even institutional investors now to start picking up some of that stock as well. So we think this is sort of like a gateway. It’s at the end of the day, it’s a Band-Aid. It’s not a, you know, comprehensive solution. But nonetheless, it allows TerrAscend access to a whole new investor class where they can actually go and raise money either on debt or on the equity side, but it gives them access to capital. And then now we’re starting to see a lot more MSOs begin to focus and shift and see if they can have a small Canadian operation with which they can list on the Toronto Stock Exchange and get access to investors again.
Future of the U.S. Cannabis Industry
Will other multi-state cannabis operators follow TerrAscend’s lead? Time will tell. Nawan suggests they “find a position where they do have somewhat access to capital.”
For, if all of your competitors are holding back and not investing, “you want to be the company that actually is investing the money that you have so that you have that head start on those competitors.”
Nawan suggests establishing a good footprint because “all of a sudden regulation gets looser, that footprint is going to be worth its weight in gold.”
Overall, “I think a lot of these companies should be focusing on is smart growth,” says Nawan. “There’s light on the other end of the tunnel because it is pretty much seen as inevitable, this sort of proliferation of cannabis.”