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Cannabis Market Crash Fallout – Cities and Towns Brace for Plunging Tax Revenue from Weed Sales

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marijuana tax revenue drops

The anticipated decline in tax revenues from cannabis sales in cities like San Diego is causing concern among city officials, who are bracing for a substantial drop in their budget. With California’s regulated marijuana market facing numerous challenges, including illegal delivery services, San Diego predicts a significant revenue shortfall.

 

Precisely, officials forecast a 23% decrease in cannabis tax revenue for the current fiscal year, resulting in $19.8 million instead of the expected $25.7 million. The decline in sales is primarily due to the thriving black market, which is believed to comprise roughly 50% of the local cannabis industry.

 

According to Phil Rath, who serves as the executive director for the United Medical Marijuana Coalition, the legal marijuana industry is currently grappling with fierce competition from its illicit counterpart. As a trade group representing a multitude of marijuana dispensaries, Rath asserts that delivery services present an ongoing and persistent obstacle for the city. The San Diego Union Tribune echoes this sentiment, highlighting the difficulties faced by local authorities in enforcing regulations and curbing the influence of black market operators.

 

Moreover, the declining tax revenues in San Diego indicate a more significant issue pervading the state of California. After nearly seven years since its legalization, the legal cannabis market has faltered, resulting in significant setbacks for the industry.

 

As per a report by Politico in November, the tax revenues generated from state-sanctioned and regulated marijuana markets have taken a severe hit, plummeting by almost $100 million during the third quarter compared to the same period in the previous year. The licensed retailers operating within the state are trailing far behind the massive underground market, estimated to be worth an enormous sum of up to $8 billion. Despite the significant decline in tax revenues, it has been projected that the sales of medical and recreational marijuana in California will increase by 2021. However, the sales have been consistently declining, dropping from a high of over $1.5 billion in Q2 2020.

 

The data released by California tax and The Office of Fees Administration in July, August, and September showed that the state residents had bought licensed cannabis products amounting to $1.27 billion, leading to $128 million in sales tax revenue. Although this was still substantial, it marked a decrease of $18 million from the preceding quarter and a drop of $52 million from the record-high figure.

 

California’s black market deals a massive blow to its legal cannabis industry.

As per a separate report by Politico during the same month, California’s black market has dealt a significant blow to its legal cannabis industry, with the unregulated sales overshadowing the legal counterpart. Despite six years since the vote to legalize recreational marijuana, the state has been unable to bring illegal sales under control. The overwhelming demand for marijuana products has resulted in many legal businesses closing their stores.

 

The success of the legal cannabis industry in the most densely populated state in the country has been hindered by a combination of factors, including high taxes, local government opposition, and cut-throat competition from the underground market. Politico highlights that the exorbitant taxes on cannabis products have led to inflated prices, making them unaffordable for many consumers. Additionally, the reluctance of several local authorities to allow the opening of legal dispensaries has further hampered the industry’s growth.

 

To revive the faltering legal cannabis industry, lawmakers and officials in California have been exploring various measures.

 

Recently, Democratic legislators in the state put forth a bill enabling licensed cannabis consumption lounges to serve food and beverages, potentially providing a much-needed boost to small-scale cannabis businesses grappling with multiple challenges. According to Rep. Matt Haney, who is backing the proposed bill, the small cannabis businesses in California are facing significant struggles due to various issues, including excessive taxes, saturation in the market, and the thriving black market.

 

These factors have severely affected the legal operators that adhere to the authorities’ rules and regulations. The bill’s introduction could offer a viable solution to these problems, potentially helping to level the playing field for the licensed cannabis industry.

 

San Diego officials have not only downgraded their projections for the current fiscal year’s cannabis tax revenue, but they have also revised their long-term forecasts. The revenue generated from cannabis taxes is meant to fund dispensary enforcement and a novel cannabis equities program to assist people of color in establishing a foothold in the industry.

 

According to the Union Tribune, the officials acknowledged that the cannabis industry has been severely impacted by the war on drugs. The earlier long-term estimates for cannabis tax revenue, projected just over a year ago, stood at $31.5 million in fiscal 2025, $33.3 million in fiscal 2026, and $33.8 million in fiscal 2027. However, the revised estimates in November 2022 were much lower, with projected revenues of $26 million in fiscal 2025, $28.4 million in fiscal 2026, and $28.9 million in fiscal 2027. The officials expressed their need for more confidence in the revised forecasts.

 

Five states saw cannabis tax revenue decline in 2022

A new report from the Urban Institute & Brookings Institution reveals that in 2022, the five states with the longest history of legalizing and taxing marijuana sales experienced decreased tax revenue from the sale of cannabis products.

 

Colorado saw the most significant decline of 13.9 percent in tax revenue, resulting in a loss of $56.9 million in revenue. The other states that experienced declines were California, Nevada, Oregon, and Washington, with more modest declines ranging from 3.5 percent to 6.8 percent. The report analyzed cannabis tax policies across the country to arrive at its conclusions.

 

The authors of the study noted that tax revenue in Colorado and Washington had been rising steadily since 2015, and the cause of the decline last year was unclear. Still, they speculated it could be related to the pandemic. The COVID-19 pandemic and the federal government’s response to it affected all aspects of state and local finance in fiscal years 2021 and 2022. The authors suggest that the spike in cannabis tax revenue in 2021 may have been due to consumers having disposable income from stimulus checks, reduced spending options, and the desire to substitute marijuana purchases for more public activities like going to a bar or restaurant. The decline in cannabis tax revenue in 2022 could represent a return to more normal consumption patterns.

 

The report also highlighted that in some states, the sale price of marijuana decreased during the same period, impacting tax revenue and indicating a healthy market. This suggests that states with recently implemented cannabis taxes could experience comparable fluctuations in their yearly cannabis tax collections as the market progresses, the report added.

 

Conclusion

The decline in tax revenue from cannabis product sales in several states, as highlighted by the recent report from the Urban Institute & Brookings Institution, is cause for concern. However, lawmakers and officials across the country are exploring solutions to strengthen the legal cannabis market, including the introduction of bills to allow licensed consumption lounges to serve food and beverages and the implementation of programs aimed at supporting small cannabis businesses and promoting equity in the industry. As the market continues to evolve, it remains to be seen how these efforts will impact the industry in the coming years.

 

TAX REVENUE HITS ARE COMING, READ ON…

CALIFORNIA ILLICIT WEED MARKET 73%

74% OF CANNABIS SALES IN CALIFORNIA ARE ON THE BLACK MARKET?



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US Court Rules Delta-8 THC Derived from Hemp is 100% Legal, Slamming the DEA in Embarrassing Court Case

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supreme cour ruling on delta-8 thc from hemp

In a groundbreaking decision, the U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit has ruled that Delta-8 tetrahydrocannabinol (Delta-8 THC) derived from legal hemp sources is not classified as a controlled substance under federal law, directly contradicting the Drug Enforcement Administration’s (DEA) position that all synthetically derived tetrahydrocannabinols, including Delta-8 THC, fall under Schedule I controlled substances. This landmark ruling emerged from a case brought forward by several key players in the hemp industry who challenged the DEA’s interpretation of the 2018 Farm Bill, which legalized hemp and its derivatives. The court’s decision not only rejects the DEA’s restrictive stance but also provides much-needed clarity regarding the legal status of Delta-8 THC, allowing for its continued production and sale from legally sourced hemp. This ruling is significant as it has the potential to reshape the regulatory landscape for cannabinoids, encouraging further exploration and commercialization of hemp-derived products while also highlighting the ongoing tensions between federal regulations and the rapidly evolving hemp industry.

 

 Delta-8 THC: A Naturally Occurring Cannabinoid

Delta-8 tetrahydrocannabinol (Delta-8 THC) is a naturally occurring cannabinoid found in trace amounts in hemp and cannabis plants that shares a similar molecular structure to Delta-9 THC, the primary psychoactive compound in marijuana, but is known to produce significantly milder intoxicating effects; the 2018 Farm Bill’s legalization of hemp and its derivatives containing no more than 0.3% Delta-9 THC on a dry weight basis created a legal gray area for Delta-8 THC, which has proliferated in the form of various products derived from legal hemp sources and sold in a largely unregulated market, as they are not explicitly classified as controlled substances by the Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) despite the agency’s stance that all synthetically derived tetrahydrocannabinols should be treated as Schedule I drugs regardless of their origin or potency, a position that has been challenged by hemp industry players arguing that Delta-8 THC from legal hemp should be exempt from the same restrictions as Delta-9 THC.

 

 The DEA’s Stance and Industry Challenges

The Drug Enforcement Administration (DEA) has taken a firm stance that all synthetically derived tetrahydrocannabinols, including Delta-8 THC, are classified as Schedule I controlled substances under the Controlled Substances Act (CSA), regardless of their source or concentration. This position has faced considerable resistance from various stakeholders within the hemp industry, who argue that Delta-8 THC derived from legal hemp should not be subjected to the same stringent restrictions as Delta-9 THC, the primary psychoactive compound in marijuana. Proponents contend that the 2018 Farm Bill, which legalized hemp and its derivatives, should extend to include Delta-8 THC, allowing it to be treated as a legal product when sourced from hemp that contains less than 0.3% Delta-9 THC. They emphasize that while Delta-8 THC may occur naturally in small amounts in hemp, the majority of Delta-8 products on the market are produced through a chemical conversion process from CBD, which the DEA argues renders them synthetic and thus illegal. This conflict has led to ongoing legal challenges, with some courts ruling in favor of the hemp industry, asserting that Delta-8 THC should not be classified as a controlled substance when derived from legal hemp. As the debate continues, the tension between the DEA’s regulatory framework and the evolving hemp market raises critical questions about the future of cannabinoid regulation in the United States.

 

 The Court’s Ruling and Its Implications

 

The U.S. Court of Appeals for the Ninth Circuit ruled that Delta-8 THC derived from legal hemp sources is not controlled substance.

  • The court found the DEA’s interpretation of the law was “arbitrary and capricious” and lacked a reasoned explanation.

  • This ruling effectively removes Delta-8 THC from the DEA’s list of controlled substances, provided it is derived from hemp containing less than 0.3% Delta-9 THC.

  • The decision provides legal protection for businesses and consumers involved in Delta-8 THC products derived from legal hemp sources.

 

 

Opportunities for the Hemp and Cannabis Industries

The recent court ruling represents a significant victory for the hemp and cannabis industries, paving the way for new possibilities in product development and research.

  • Therapeutic Potential: Delta-8 THC has been recognized for its potential therapeutic benefits, which could attract more consumers seeking alternative treatments.

  • Increased Investment: The legalization of Delta-8 THC may lead to heightened investment and innovation within the sector, encouraging the development of new products and formulations.

  • Regulatory Concerns: Despite the positive implications, the ruling also raises important concerns regarding the regulation and quality control of Delta-8 THC products, necessitating careful oversight.

  • Need for Standards: As the market for Delta-8 THC expands, there will be a pressing need for clear guidelines and standards to ensure consumer safety and product consistency, helping to build trust in these emerging products.

Broader Implications for Cannabis Legalization

The court’s ruling underscores the ongoing conflict between federal and state laws concerning the regulation of cannabis and its derivatives.

  • Increasing State Legalization: As more states advance toward the legalization of both recreational and medical marijuana, the pressure on the federal government to revise its policies and align them with shifting public opinion is likely to intensify.

  • Step Forward for Delta-8 THC: The ruling regarding Delta-8 THC may be viewed as a positive development in the broader context of cannabis legalization, yet significant challenges remain.

  • Path to Comprehensive Legalization: There is still a considerable distance to cover before achieving comprehensive federal legalization of cannabis, highlighting the complexities of navigating cannabis policy in the United States.

 

Conclusion

 

The court’s ruling underscores the ongoing conflict between federal and state laws concerning the regulation of cannabis and its derivatives. As more states advance toward the legalization of both recreational and medical marijuana, the pressure on the federal government to revise its policies and align them with shifting public opinion is likely to intensify. The ruling regarding Delta-8 THC may be viewed as a positive development in the broader context of cannabis legalization; however, significant challenges remain, and there is still a considerable distance to cover before achieving comprehensive federal legalization of cannabis, highlighting the complexities of navigating cannabis policy in the United States.

 

DELTA-8 THC IS LEGAL, READ MORE…

DELTA-8 NOW LEGAL

COURT PANEL RULES DELTA-8 THC IS LEGAL UNDER THE FARM BILL!



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What Is It, Why You Should Care, and How Cannabis Helps

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metabolic syndrome

Metabolic syndrome is an umbrella term referring to several conditions that negatively impact how the body metabolizes carbohydrates, fats, and proteins.


It occurs when there are unusual, abnormal chemical processes in the body which affect otherwise healthy metabolic functions. The primary symptoms of metabolic syndrome include abdominal fat, high blood pressure, high blood sugar, high triglycerides, and low levels of LDL (good) cholesterol. These conditions all greatly increase the risk of stroke, coronary heart disease, diabetes, and other severe health issues that are difficult or near impossible to reverse.

 

The most telling symptom, though, is a large waist circumference – and you don’t need to take any kind of medical test to tell you this because it’s completely visible.


That’s why prevention is key when it comes to metabolic syndrome. However, the choices you make on a daily basis in your lifestyle can determine your risk for metabolic syndrome of not. We know that an unhealthy diet that is high in sugar, salt, and processed food can contribute to the symptoms of metabolic syndrome. A sedentary lifestyle, obesity, poor sleep hygiene, and exposure to chronic stress can also make the risk much worse. Smoking tobacco and alcohol are even worse – don’t even think about it.


But cannabis? That can actually help!

What Studies Say

 

A recent study that was published in the American Journal of Open Medicine found that young adults with a habit of consuming cannabis had a significantly lower prevalence of metabolic syndrome. For the study, investigators from the University of Miami analyzed a cohort of almost 4,000 individuals whose ages ranged from 18 to 25. They specifically zoned in on the young adults’ cannabis use.

 

They found that current cannabis users were 42% less likely to have metabolic syndrome. They also found that Non-Hispanic Blacks, who were consuming more weed than the other subjects, were found to be the least likely of all to have metabolic syndrome. “Current cannabis users had a lower prevalence of MetS, predominantly noted among NHB (non-Hispanic Blacks], the group with the highest prevalence of current cannabis use,” said the study’s authors. “Future prospective studies are warranted to examine the role of specific cannabinoids on MetS by race/ethnicity,” they said.

 

A Smaller Waist Circumference: Why You Should Pay Attention, And How Weed Can Help

 

Having a large waist circumference or a visibly fatty belly has been associated with numerous health conditions. Of course, this includes a heightened risk of metabolic disease. It also increases the risk of inflammation, type 2 diabetes, cardiovascular disease incidence, and cancer among others.

That is why it’s critical to pay attention to the size of your stomach. A smaller waist means you have a smaller amount of visceral fat, which is necessary for better health and an improved quality of life.

There are many steps you can take to reduce your visceral fat. These include:

 

  • Sticking to a low carbohydrate and low sugar diet

  • Having a diet high in good protein sources

  • Reduce consumption of trans fat and saturated fats

  • Engage in strength training and cardiovascular exercises

  • Manage stress effectively

 

Last but not the least: did you know that consuming cannabis has been shown to be associated with smaller waistlines and a reduced risk for obesity?

In 2020, a study out of Quebec in Canada revealed that cannabis consumption was linked to a smaller waist and reduced triglyceride levels. For this study, the investigator in Canada analyzed subjects who either never consumed marijuana in the past, used it sometime in the past but had no recent use, had some infrequent use, or consume it infrequently. They specifically measured the participants’ waist circumference and triglycerides.

 

They found out that the subjects who consumed certain marijuana strains for metabolic syndrome for at least 4 days per week were found to have smaller waistlines as well as less triglycerides compared to the other participants in the study.

 

Another study from 2015, also out of Quebec, was conducted by researchers from the Conference of Quebec University Health Centers. They analyzed cannabis consumption patterns of 786 Arctic aboriginal adults, the Inuits. The investigators also analyzed their body mass index to search for any links between cannabis use and BMI.

They found that study participants who consumed marijuana within the last year were more likely to have a lower body mass index, as well as reduced fasting insulin and better insulin resistance (using the HOMA-IR indicator) compared to those who did not.

“In this large cross-sectional adult survey with high prevalence of both substance use and obesity, cannabis use in the past year was associated with lower BMI, lower percentage fat mass, lower fasting insulin, and HOMA-IR,” said the researchers. In other words, they observed a relationship between cannabis use and BMI that led them to conclude that cannabis and cannabinoid use can help consumers reduce the likelihood of obesity and diabetes.

 

Meanwhile, an older study from 2013 also had similar results. Research data from The American Journal of Medicine taken from more than 4,600 patients yielded interesting findings. Almost 45% of patients never consumed marijuana in their lives, while 43% of them smoked in the past though no longer do currently. And 12% of them were regular cannabis users.

Researchers discovered that cannabis users who consumed marijuana within the past month had 16% less fasting insulin levels compared to those who never consumed weed. In addition, they even add reduced HOMA-IR levels and higher high-density lipoprotein. Furthermore, the investigators found that regular cannabis users who usually consume more calories, they also had lower BMI’s.

 

Conclusion

 

Staying fit and healthy is much more than vanity: science and medical research makes it clear that there is a strong link between obesity and body mass index, to overall health and wellness. Metabolic syndrome further emphasizes the importance of keeping one’s BMI normal, and based on these studies, that’s something cannabis can help with. Integrating responsible cannabis use into your lifestyle is one tool out of many that can help you stay healthy and reduce the risks of developing metabolic syndrome.

 

MORE ON METABOLIC SYNDROME AND WEED, READ ON…

MARIJAUNA HELPS WITH METABOLIC SYNDROME

WHY CANNABIS HELPS METABOLIC SYNDROME NUMBERS!



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More Bad News for Intoxicating Hemp (California, Missouri, New Jersey)

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Last week, I wrote a post entitled “Loper Comes For the DEA. Will it Matter Though?” In that post, I discussed a brand new federal Fourth Circuit Court of Appeals case that concluded that hemp derivatives like THC-O are not controlled substances. The hemp community has largely celebrated this as a win, even though as I wrote in that post and back in July, none of this really matters if Congress bans intoxicating hemp products – which looks like it will happen.

On the heels of the Fourth Circuit case, a few things happened that don’t make life easier for people who want intoxicating hemp products.

Probably the most significant of the bad news, the California Department of Public Health (CDPH) issued emergency regulations to ban a series of intoxicating hemp products. A lot has been written about these regulations, but it’s worth pointing out that California’s hemp law (AB-45) was already not very favorable to smokable hemp products.

For example, AB-45 already prohibits smokable hemp products. And more notably, it defines THC to include THCA and “any tetrahydrocannabinol, including, but not limited to, Delta-8-tetrahydrocannabinol, Delta-9-tetrahydrocannabinol, and Delta-10-tetrahydrocannabinol, however derived”. In other words, all of the various things that are defined as THC – and there are many – must already not exceed 0.3% in the aggregate. This means that a host of products were already de facto banned in the state.

While, to be sure, the new emergency regulations take things farther, I think it would be inaccurate to describe this as a “sea change” in how hemp products are regulated in the state. What remains to be seen is whether CDPH or other agencies ramp up enforcement in any meaningful way. It’s California, so my guess is no.

California’s not the only state taking aim at intoxicating hemp products. Just the other day, Missouri’s Attorney General created a new task force to crack down on intoxicating hemp products. New Jersey’s Governor also signed a bill cracking down on intoxicating hemp products.

All this just adds to the long list of states and municipalities that had been going after unregulated intoxicating hemp products prior to the Fourth Circuit’s decision – often for violations of state or local law which are unlikely to be impacted by the federal case. And of course, if Congress gets around to banning intoxicating hemp products, that will likely be the last straw for many of these products.



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