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Curaleaf’s Debt Is Now a Short-Term Obligation – New Cannabis Ventures

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The Big MSO to Buy – New Cannabis Ventures

You are reading this week’s edition of New Cannabis Ventures, a weekly magazine we have published since October 2015. The newsletter includes unique insight to help our readers stay ahead of the curve, as well as links to the most important news of the week. We no longer email them like we used to, but post this and all newsletters on our website here.

friends,

I warned about it here four weeks ago Curaleaf is overrated compared to his peers. Shares had closed at $2.44 and immediately more than doubled two weeks later to a high of $5.05 in 12/18 trading, after closing at $4.70 the day before. On December 12, President Trump’s move to issue an Executive Order to regulate hemp fueled this wild price increase.

Although the conclusion of the 12/4 newsletter was very wrong at first, it turned out as I expected in less than a month. Curaleaf garnered just 3.3%, while the other four major MSOs garnered 25.2% to 50.8%. MSOS, which has a lot of Curaleaf in it, scored 27.9%.

Of course, Curaleaf stock has had a fantastic year, up 61.5% in 2025. Since 11/05/24 (election), it’s down 19.2%, the smallest decline of the five largest MSOs. Looking at the action since 4/30/24, the peak of the cannabis sector and the day the DEA said it was moving forward with the reclassification process, it took out the second of the five largest MSOs. Compared to its two peers, which join CURLF and represent 67.8% of MSOS, it fared the worst and performed slightly worse than MSOS’ decline of 58.1%.

Curaleaf has a worse balance sheet than its peers, and the company was unable to refinance its 2026 debt. At the end of the third quarter, Curaleaf had $456.8 million due on 12/15/26, and suggested on the Q2 conference call in August that it would refinance by the end of the year.

I would like to provide an update on our upcoming debt refinancing. Over the past few months, we have partnered with a wide range of investors, including public and private credit funds, as well as regional banks. Initial feedback has been very encouraging, with strong indicative interest and constructive dialogue.

Boris Jordan, President and CEO of Curaleaf

We remain focused on securing the most favorable outcome for Curaleaf consistent with our long-term capital strategy. We are on track to complete the refinancing by the end of the year and are confident that it will increase our financial flexibility and support our growth priorities.

Curaleaf announced a new debt deal in October, increasing its revolving credit facility with Needham Bank by $60 million to $100 million. Its third-quarter SEDAR filings showed cash of $107.5 million and total borrowings of $551 million. The uncertain tax position of 510.7 million dollars is not included in the loans. Taking all its assets and liabilities into account, Curaleaf reported equity of $814.8 million, but intangible assets of $1.03 billion and goodwill of $634.0 million. Taking these into account equity, Curaleaf had tangible equity of -$853.6 million. It’s unclear why Curaleaf hasn’t announced a 2026 extension of this large debt, but perhaps lenders were concerned about the balance sheet. Of course, it may have been refinanced, but it has not been announced yet. Also, maybe the company is waiting because the realignment, if it goes through, will do away with 280E taxation. Investors, however, should be prepared for a decline in the current ratio. At the end of Q3, Curaleaf had current assets of 1.5X current liabilities, but the ratio will be well below 1X in Q4. This may alarm investors.

As I said, maybe they have dealt with the issue of debt and haven’t announced it yet, or maybe they will soon. If the reshuffle doesn’t go through, this could be a big challenge for Curaleaf. Its peers have done a decent job of extending their debt maturities. If Curaleaf cannot find a lender, it may sell shares to raise funds. The company reported 772.2 million shares outstanding in early November, and I estimate 803.1 million shares outstanding on a fully diluted cash basis. If they sold 200 million shares at $2.52, that would pay off the debt and leave the balance sheet in much better shape. The stock is well off its all-time low of $0.68 set earlier this year, and it looks very expensive relative to its peers, currently trading at an enterprise value of 8X forecast 2026 adjusted EBITDA.

I hope the 280E taxation goes away, and this would be great for Curaleaf if it does, but investors should be aware of the potential risks of the stock. Investors looking to buy an MSO have better options than Curaleaf, which is quite risky.

Happy New Year!

Sincerely,

Alan:


New Cannabis Ventures publishes curated articles as well as exclusive news. Here is what we published last week.

Exclusives

Hemp stocks increase in December, but end 2025 and decrease again

Follow Alan for real-time updates X.com:. Share and discover industry news with like-minded people on the largest group of cannabis investors and entrepreneurs LinkedIn:.

View: Public Hemp Company Revenue and Earnings Trackingwhich ranks the highest-earning hemp stocks.

Stay on top of the most important communications from public companies by watching what’s coming cannabis investor calendar.

Alan Brochstein, CFA

Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as an online community founder 420 Investorthe first and still the largest due diligence platform focused on publicly traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. time New Cannabis Ventureshe is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before turning his attention to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst with more than two decades of research and portfolio management experience. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 Looking for Alphawhere he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and frequent source Media including the NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan. Twitter: |: Facebook |: LinkedIn: |: El

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Cannabis Stock Q1 Financial Reports Were Not the Story – New Cannabis Ventures

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Cannabis Stock Q1 Financial Reports Were Not the Story – New Cannabis Ventures

You are reading this week’s edition of New Cannabis Ventures, a weekly magazine we have published since October 2015. The newsletter includes unique insight to help our readers stay ahead of the curve, as well as links to the most important news of the week. We no longer email them like we used to, but post this and all newsletters on our website here.

friends,

Many more cannabis companies reported Q1 financials this week. While NCV did not run any of those press releases, all data has been updated in the New Cannabis Ventures Public Cannabis Company Revenue & Income Tracker. The largest companies reporting in US dollars all reported, and the eleven companies that reported for the Q1 ended in March (excluding Tilray Brands, which is due to report its Q4 later this month) saw an average year-over-year revenue increase of 31% in their cannabis businesses.

Excluding Vireo Growth, that average comes to -0.7%, which is lower, especially after accounting for inflation, and a sign of continued challenges for the hemp industry. Speaking of Vireo, I’ve pointed out how investors didn’t care, and they still don’t. An average of just 375,000 shares traded per day over the past month, and the stock, which closed at $0.415, continues to trade off the level of its late 2024 capital raise and the price at which the company issued shares to make multiple acquisitions.

April was a big month for hemp stocks, but prices fell in May. The NCV Global Cannabis Stock Index rose 8.8% to 5.70 in April, but fell 2.8% to 5.54 in May. The year-to-year change of this index, which now covers 23 stocks, was -15.9%. Since its peak in early 2021, the GCSI is down 94%. Many are excited about the medical cannabis realignment that took place in April, although it remains unclear whether cannabis will be completely overhauled. The Department of Justice will hold hearings in late June to discuss adult-use cannabis, and it could be. If so, 280E tax would be removed, and this would be very good. I’ve written a lot about this since late 2022 when I highlighted it The potential end of 280E as a major catalyst.

The investor base in cannabis stocks has shrunk due to capital losses and fewer people interested in the sector. Institutions were more interested in high prices and maybe they would enter the field. 280E remains a big story, and not only is it being delayed by the limited realignment that’s already been completed, it’s unclear how unpaid taxes from the last few years will be treated.

NCV has stopped publishing most cannabis news, although we continue to update the financial calendar as well as the earnings rankings. After more than 10 years with NCV and more than a dozen years with 420 Investor, I am in the process of moving on. This is probably the last weekly newsletter. I’ve appreciated sharing the news and my views here, and I want to wish everyone the best. Hopefully, 280E taxation will be fully completed and the bear market that began in early 2021 for the hemp sector will be over.

Sincerely,

Alan:


Contact us acquire NCV assets or a website domain


New Cannabis Ventures publishes curated articles as well as exclusive news. Here is what we published last week.

Exclusives

Michigan cannabis sales are down again

View: Public Hemp Company Revenue and Earnings Trackingwhich ranks the highest-earning hemp stocks.

Stay on top of the most important communications from public companies by watching what’s coming cannabis investor calendar.

Alan Brochstein, CFA

Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as an online community founder 420 Investorthe first and still the largest due diligence platform focused on publicly traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. time New Cannabis Ventureshe is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before turning his attention to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst with more than two decades of research and portfolio management experience. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 Looking for Alphawhere he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and frequent source Media including the NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan. Twitter: |: Facebook |: LinkedIn: |: El

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Michigan Cannabis Sales Fell Yet Again – New Cannabis Ventures

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Michigan Cannabis Sales Fell Yet Again – New Cannabis Ventures

Michigan April hemp sale decreased compared to a year ago, as they increased sequentially by 1.2%. At $258.6 million, sales decreased by 4.3 percent compared to last year.

Michigan’s cannabis regulatory agency breaks down sales by medical and adult use, with medical sales down 24.1% year-over-year to $0.4 million, down 5.6% sequentially, and adult-use sales down 4.3% year-over-year to $255.5 million, despite a one-day increase of 1.2% in March.

The state breaks down sales by category and provides pricing details by category for both medical and adult;

For Adults - Use
For Adults – Use
Medical

As supply continues to expand, adult flower prices have fallen sharply, although the decline is slowing. April’s average price of $945 per pound fell 4.2% sequentially to just above December’s record low and down 5.1% from a year ago.

Michigan hemp sales are expected to grow 82.1% to $1.79 billion in 2021, 27.9% to $2.29 billion in 2022, and 33.3% to $3.06 billion in 2023. billion In 2026, Michigan cannabis sales decreased by 5.9%.

Alan Brochstein, CFA

Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as an online community founder 420 Investorthe first and still the largest due diligence platform focused on publicly traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. time New Cannabis Ventureshe is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before turning his attention to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst with more than two decades of research and portfolio management experience. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 Looking for Alphawhere he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and frequent source Media including the NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan. Twitter: |: Facebook |: LinkedIn: |: El

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Cannabis Stocks Are Going Nowhere Quickly – New Cannabis Ventures

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Cannabis Stocks Are Going Nowhere Quickly – New Cannabis Ventures

You are reading this week’s edition of New Cannabis Ventures, a weekly magazine we have published since October 2015. The newsletter includes unique insight to help our readers stay ahead of the curve, as well as links to the most important news of the week. We no longer email them like we used to, but post this and all newsletters on our website here.

friends,

The New Cannabis Ventures Global Cannabis Stock Index edged up slightly in May, rising 1.1% to 5.76. Compared to the previous year, it decreased by 12.6%. The index, recalculated as of the end of the first quarter, is up 9.9% so far in the second quarter, lagging the S&P 500’s 12.8% gain. Here are the earnings of the 23 names currently in the index (SMG was dropped in late April after the sale of Hawthorne Gardening):

MSOs are very much higher as the rally approaches the discussion of the big transformation announcements on 4/22 and beyond. There are currently six MSOs and two of them have been promoted. The rest rose, and the average of the six was 38.1%. The AdvisorShares Pure US Cannabis ETF ( MSOS ) has rallied 48.5% since the end of March and is now up 11.7% year-to-date in 2026. Both GCSI names have fallen sharply, and the index has a total of seven double-digit gains in Q2, with six MSOs and Canopy holding investments. 14 of the 23 names returned less than GCSI.

As readers are probably aware, the US reclassified medical cannabis from Schedule I to Schedule III on 4/23, and that will go away. 280E tax for some of the businesses of cannabis companies. The Department of Justice will hold a hearing in late June to determine possible rezoning for adult use. If it passes, all 280E taxation will end, which is a good thing for cannabis companies and their investors, as well as the subsidiaries that serve them. It is not yet known what the outcome will be, and it is not yet known how past 280E taxes that have not been paid but are carried as liabilities (and not debt) will be handled. Also, there is no conclusion yet on SECURITY banking or the possibility of a raise.

NCV has stopped publishing news, although we continue to update the financial calendar as well as the earnings rankings. After more than 10 years with NCV and more than a dozen years with 420 Investor, I am in the process of moving on. I’ve appreciated sharing the news and my views here, and I want to wish everyone the best. Hopefully, the 280E taxation will end and the bear market that started in early 2021 for the hemp sector will come to an end.

Sincerely,

Alan:


This week’s newsletter is sponsored by the Paul E. Saperstein Co.

Massachusetts hemp production equipment for sale

On May 12, Middlesex Integrative Medicine, Inc.’s equipment is being auctioned online in Leominster, Massachusetts at 10:00 a.m. ET. All applications must be submitted online. Learn more Of the secured party’s sale of all assets of this cultivation equipment.

Interested parties may contact Paul Cotto at 617-227-6553 or email pcotto@pesco.com:.


New Cannabis Ventures publishes curated articles as well as exclusive news. Here is what we have published in the last 2 weeks.

Exclusives

Sales of Canadian hemp continued in February

View: Public Hemp Company Revenue and Earnings Trackingwhich ranks the highest-earning hemp stocks.

Stay on top of the most important communications from public companies by watching what’s coming cannabis investor calendar.

Alan Brochstein, CFA

Based in Houston, Alan leverages his experience as an online community founder 420 Investorthe first and still the largest due diligence platform focused on publicly traded stocks in the cannabis industry. With his extensive network in the cannabis community, Alan continues to find new ways to connect the industry and facilitate its sustainable growth. time New Cannabis Ventureshe is responsible for content development and strategic alliances. Before turning his attention to the cannabis industry in early 2013, Alan, who began his career on Wall Street in 1986, worked as an independent research analyst with more than two decades of research and portfolio management experience. A prolific writer, with over 650 articles published since 2007 Looking for Alphawhere he has 70,000 followers, Alan is a frequent speaker at industry conferences and frequent source Media including the NY Times, Wall Street Journal, Fox Business and Bloomberg TV. Contact Alan. Twitter: |: Facebook |: LinkedIn: |: El

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